What does projected mean on Roblox?
A projected item is a limited whose RAP sits far above what it actually sells for, usually because a few sales were made at inflated prices to pump the RAP. On Rotility an item is projected when its RAP is at least 25% above its RTV, with recent sales behind the RTV. Trade it at its value, never at its RAP.
How items get projected
RAP moves a tenth of the way toward each sale price, so a few sales at inflated prices lift it a long way. Often it's on purpose: someone lists a copy far above its price and buys it with another account, then offers the item in trades as if it were worth its new RAP.
Sometimes it's innocent: a rare item that sells once a month can have its RAP set by one eager buyer.
How to spot one
Signs an item is projected:
- The RAP is far above the recent sale prices on the item's chart.
- Most of the RAP's rise came from one or two sales.
- The cheapest listing is well under the RAP and nobody buys it.
- Rotility's item page says Projected, and the item is on the projected list.
How Rotility flags them
An item is projected when its RAP is at least 25% above its RTV. The bar rises for the biggest items, which sell rarely and whose RAP naturally runs further ahead. It takes at least three recent sales behind the RTV, so there is something real to compare against. Items whose sales look staged are flagged manipulated instead.
Questions
Should I trade for a projected item?
Only at its value (RTV), never at its RAP.
Can an item stop being projected?
Yes. As real sales pull RAP back toward what the item sells for, the gap closes and the flag goes away.
Where can I see every projected item?
Rotility's projected page lists every item whose RAP is out of line with its sales right now.
Keep reading
- What is RAP on Roblox?RAP (Recent Average Price) explained: how Roblox recalculates it after every sale, why a few sales can push it up, what projected means, and how RAP differs from value.
- How Roblox limited values workWhat a Roblox limited is worth: RAP vs value vs RTV, how Rotility values items from real sales and tracked trades, and what confidence, demand, projected and manipulated mean.
- How to trade Roblox limiteds safelyCommon Roblox trading scams and how to avoid them: fake middlemen, phishing and cookie loggers, projected items, real-money deals and fake value sites.
- Roblox limited value listEvery limited with its value, RAP, copies and demand.